Series Preview: Yankees @ Pirates

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Photo: Keith Allison

 

New York Yankees (10-5) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (6-9)


GAME 1

Tyler Glasnow (0-1, 12.15 ERA) vs CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.47 ERA)

Time: Friday – 7:05

 

Tyler Glasnow returns to the mound to face the red hot Yankees. The Yankees are averaging 5.5 runs per game, which is a whole 2 runs more than the Pirates are averaging. Of course, the Yankees have the benefit of using a designated hitter, but in this series they will have to play by the National Leagues rules. The Yankees are 10-5, which is good, but they have one 9 of their last 10. They are one of the hottest teams right now and just swept the Cardinals, who swept us.

This week, I released an article on how Tyler Glasnow’s control problems haven’t been entirely his fault. I think as long as he doesn’t lose a lot of strikes on wrong calls, he could open up some eyes.

CC Sabathia is 36 years old and after a few bad seasons may have a reputation as a bad pitcher. But that isn’t true anymore. He has completely revamped his approach by throwing his sinker and cutter at a much higher rate than before. Righties still hit him better than lefties, and the Pirates will roll out 7 righty hitters in this one.

Vegas has this game at a pick’em with a 8 run total. If Vegas thinks Glasnow will keep it together, he probably will.


GAME 2

Jameson Taillon (1-0, 0.90 ERA) vs Michael Pineda (2-1, 3.44 ERA)

Time: Saturday – 4:05

 

Jameson Taillon continues to impress this season. He also continues to get no run support. A 0.90 ERA in three starts and only one win is not ideal.

Michael Pineda is an interesting case of when advanced statistics don’t always work. Over the last two seasons, his FIP has outperformed his ERA by 1 point. At some point, something has to give. Either Pineda is an outlier when it comes to FIP regressing towards ERA, or there is something missing. Pineda has a tendency to give up a lot of hard contact, so that might be his biggest issue. Either way, Pineda has the stuff to dominate us, but he also has the mentality to lose it at any moment.


GAME 3

Ivan Nova (1-2, 2.25 ERA) vs Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 4.22 ERA)

Time: Sunday – 1:35

 

Ivan Nova has put up good numbers this year, despite giving up a lot of contact. He has limited his walks to a staggering ZERO. The contact hasn’t been a problem thus far, but eventually it will certainly become one. The lack of swings and misses this year will play against him when he gets into trouble.

Jordan Montgomery is the second lefty the Pirates will face this series. His projections have him being a mid 4 ERA pitcher and his scouting report isn’t much more optimistic than that. He excelled at limiting the long ball in the minors, but the Pirates aren’t exactly power hitters so it’s unlikely to effect them much.

Given the matchups this series, I think the Pirates could easily win this series. They need to, they can’t afford to fall far behind the Cubs and the Cardinals.

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